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IR-5 Cohort Timeline

Two practices publish estimates for the same petition in the same year and the numbers differ severalfold. Neither is lying — they are measuring different segments, at different percentiles, at different offices, on different paths. This page will not add a number to the pile. It explains why they cannot agree, gives you four questions to ask of any figure you are quoted, and names the gate that costs people the most years. Nothing you enter reaches any server.

Where you actually stand

The rulebook, verified

A green card holder cannot petition for a parent at all — this is the gate that costs people years verified

Only a United States citizen who is at least twenty-one years old may file a petition for a parent. A lawful permanent resident cannot petition for a parent in any category, at any wait length — there is no queue for them to join. A permanent resident who wants to bring a parent must naturalise first, and the parent's petition cannot begin until that has happened. This is the single most consequential fact on this page because it is invisible: nothing about holding a green card announces that this particular door is shut, and families routinely spend years planning around a timeline for a petition that could never have been filed. If you are not yet a citizen, your parent's timeline starts with your naturalisation, not with their paperwork.

Eligibility to petition for a parent (immediate relative, IR-5): US citizenship and minimum age of twenty-one primary source verified 2026-08-27

There is no visa queue in this category — so the wait is processing, not quota, and it behaves nothing like the categories people compare it to verified

A parent of an adult US citizen is an immediate relative, and immediate-relative categories are not subject to an annual numerical limit or to a per-country cap. There is no Visa Bulletin queue to join, no priority date to watch, and no retrogression to fear. Every month of an IR-5 wait is therefore an agency or a consulate working through a backlog — not a place in a line behind a quota. This is why the sibling and adult-child waits that dominate diaspora conversation, which run in years or decades precisely because they are quota-limited, tell you nothing at all about this petition, and why comparing them produces either false despair or false comfort.

Immediate-relative classification: no annual numerical limitation, no per-country cap primary source verified 2026-08-27

The published estimates differ severalfold because they are not measuring the same thing — four reasons, and each one alone is enough verified

Estimates for this petition published by different practices in the same year can differ by several times over, and the disagreement is structural rather than a matter of one of them being wrong. First, SCOPE: some pages quote only the petition-adjudication segment, others the whole path from filing to a visa in hand, and the two are simply different measurements presented under the same heading. Second, PERCENTILE: the government's own published processing time is the time it took to complete eighty percent of cases adjudicated over the prior six months — so twenty percent of cases take longer by design, and a page quoting it is reporting a backward-looking distribution rather than predicting your case. Third, LOCATION: those times are published per office, and offices differ substantially, so a single national number for this petition is a fiction whoever prints it. Fourth, OWNERSHIP: the consular half of the path is run by a different department entirely and is not inside the petitioning agency's number at all. Any timeline you are quoted should be met with four questions — which segment, at which percentile, at which office, on which of the two paths — and most published numbers cannot answer them.

Published-processing-time methodology (eightieth-percentile completion over the prior six months, published per office) and segment-scope variation across sources primary source verified 2026-08-27

The path has three owners with three separate backlogs, and they do not move together verified

A consular-route case passes through three distinct segments under three different authorities: the immigration agency adjudicates the petition; a separate national visa centre then collects fees, forms and civil documents and reviews them for completeness; and the consular post abroad schedules and conducts the interview and issues the visa. Each segment has its own backlog, its own staffing and its own queue, and improvement in one does not imply improvement in another — a fast adjudication can be followed by a long wait for an interview slot at a busy post, and that combination is common enough that it is the usual reason a case that seemed to be going well appears to stall. Knowing which segment a case is actually sitting in is the difference between a question somebody can answer and a general worry nobody can.

Segment structure of the consular route: petition adjudication, national visa centre document review, consular interview and issuance primary source verified 2026-08-27

Two different paths exist and neither is reliably faster — which one is open is decided by where your parent already is verified

If the parent is abroad, the case runs through consular processing and ends at an interview at a post. If the parent is already in the United States in a valid status, adjusting status without leaving the country may instead be available. These are different procedures with different segment structures and different agencies involved, and neither is dependably faster than the other — sources reviewed reported adjustment as generally the shorter of the two for immediate relatives while also noting that each track runs on its own timeline and either can be the slower one in a given period. Which path is even available is not a preference: it is decided by where the parent is and what status they hold. Any timeline quoted without naming which of the two it describes is not answering the question.

Adjustment of status versus consular processing as alternative routes for an immediate relative primary source verified 2026-08-27

When to file for a parent already visiting is a genuine legal question — and it is the one place on this page where a page is the wrong thing to be reading verified

Filing to adjust a parent's status soon after they enter on a visitor visa raises the question of preconceived intent, and this area is more subtle than either the reassuring or the alarming version of it circulating online. Practitioner sources describe preconceived intent as generally not disqualifying for immediate relatives, on the reasoning that family-unity considerations outweigh it — while also being clear that a misrepresentation is an entirely separate and far more serious matter, because misrepresentation is a ground of inadmissibility in a way that intent alone is not. Both things are true at once, the distinction between them turns on what was actually said, to whom and when, and the consequences of getting it wrong run to inadmissibility rather than to delay. This page will not tell anyone when to file, and any page that does should be distrusted for saying so. This is the point on the path where an immigration lawyer is worth more than every timeline on the internet combined.

Preconceived intent for immediate-relative adjustment, distinguished from misrepresentation as a ground of inadmissibility primary source verified 2026-08-27

The only current number for your case comes from the agencies, per form and per office — and it is still a distribution, not a promise verified

For the adjudication segment, the immigration agency publishes current processing times for the specific form at the specific office handling it, and that is the only figure that is both current and about your case rather than about an average. For the consular segment, the State Department publishes visa appointment and processing timeframes for the specific post. Together those are the closest thing to a real answer that exists. Two caveats survive even then: the agency figure is still an eightieth-percentile look backwards rather than a forecast, so a fifth of cases run longer by design; and neither figure covers the whole path, so they have to be read as segments rather than summed into a promise. A timeline on a practice's marketing page, by contrast, has an unknown vintage, an unstated scope and an unstated percentile — which is why it can differ severalfold from the next one and both can be quoting something real.

Agency-published processing times (per form, per office) and consular post-specific timeframes as the primary sources primary source verified 2026-08-27

Nothing on this page is ranked, recommended, or paid for verified

This page has no referral, affiliate, lead-generation or other commercial relationship with any law firm, immigration practice or filing service. It names no practice as suitable for any reader, ranks nothing, and links to no consultation booking. Where a practice's published material was used to establish how a rule or a process step works, the relevant figure's review notes say so, and points were required to appear across independent practices before being carried. The matrix's own note on this item observes that the conflicting published timelines it found were 'optimised for conversion rather than accuracy' — which is a reason to state this page's own position plainly rather than to assume a reader will infer it.

Editorial disclosure — not a citable external rule primary source verified 2026-08-27

This page issues no timeline estimate, on purpose — the whole point of it is that a static number with an unstated scope, percentile, office and path is what produces the contradictions in the first place, and printing one here would reproduce the problem while criticising it. The only current figures for your own case are the agencies' own, per form and per office, and they are still distributions rather than promises. This page also gives no advice on when to file for a parent already in the country: that question turns on facts it cannot see and carries consequences of a different kind from delay. It names no practice, ranks nothing, and has no referral or affiliate relationship with any firm or filing service. The financial undertaking that comes with sponsoring a parent is at The Ten-Year Contract; what happens to a parent's health cover once they are here is at The Five-Year Wait.

We already computed the public version — it is complete and stays free. Keep your filing dates and receipt numbers in one place and the Square knows which segment you are actually in: Join DesiSquare and the Square remembers your dates, re-runs this when the rules change, and puts a credentialed human one message away.